In-spite of the fact that Barack Obama has low approval ratings in Colorado, even lower than the nation as whole, Democrat Senator Mark Udall has shown fairly strong poll results agianst his Republican challenger, Cory Gardner.

Udall has led in six straight polls. All between 2 and 6 percent leads.

The latest poll has shown Obama's approval numbers in Colorado at 39%. He has been doing a few points better  nationwide. Polls taken throughout 2014 have shown Obama's approval numbers in Colorado below the national average.

Obamacare hasn't polled well in Colorado either. A Rasmussen poll found support for Obamacare at only 39%. When Rasmussen did a nationwide poll it showed 44% supported Obamacare. A quinnipiac poll taken a few months ago had shown support at 37% in CO while nationwide it was at 41%.

Recent hypothetical polls have shown Republican challengers with small leads over Hillary Clinton. This in spite of the fact that she leads those same challengers by about 10% in nationwide polling. Clearly Clinton is dragged down by Obama, Obamacare, and the fact that she is an older candidate in a state that has a lot of younger voters.

These results are interesting because Colorado has shown itself to be slightly more liberal than the nation as a whole in the last two presidential elections. The RD Index shows 1.5% pro Dem 2012 and 1.8% pro Dem in  2008.

Why has Udall been able to stay on top in the polls?

One reason could be finances. As of June 30, Udall out spent Gardner 7.9 million to 1.9 million and still had 2.4 million more cash on hand.

Not a single black respondent supports or even leans towards Jeff Bell
Actual Poll results show Booker with lead 46.2% - 41.2%
Weighted poll results show Booker with lead 52% - 37%

A recent CBS poll shows Cory Booker with a 46% to 32% lead on Jeff Bell. Another 5% are leaning towards both candidates. The poll surveyed 2239 likely voters. Whites respondents were split with 39% favoring Bell and 37% favoring Booker.  The black respondents were unaminous. Of the 119 black respondents 104 said they supported Booker and another 8 said they were leaning towards Booker and 7 said they were not sure. ZERO said they supported Bell with not even a single black respondent saying they were leaning towards Bell.  The poll takers were not able to get enough blacks to answer the polls so they weighted the 119 responses to equal 281. Hispanics and other minorities were also weighted to reflect much higher numbers than actually responded. The actual poll results were 46.2% for booker and 41.2 for Bell. If you subtract those who only said they were leaning it's 41.2% for Booker and 36.2% for Bell. 

The poll shows Booker is strong among blacks and other minorities inspite of his ethical issues regarding Watershedgate and the rising crime rate in Newark during his tenure as mayor.

A CBS/NY Times poll has just given Cory Booker only a 50 to 43 percent lead over Jeff Bell in the New Jersey race for Senate. This was released on July 26th and was the only poll released in July. Earlier polls had Bell trailing by 13% and 20%. New Jersey leans strongly Democrat( about 14% more than the nation as a whole in the last election). Further more Booker has always been thought of as a strong candidate and seems to have achieved hero status in the mainstream media and even had a favorable documentary aired on PBS called Street Fight. Most observers would have had him pegged for a 25 to 30 point victory before the polling. Booker had been leading Lonegan in last year's special election in polling by 25 to 35 points in many polls taken 3 to 7 weeks before the election. He ended up defeating Lonegan by only 10.6%. And its possible that many Lonegan supporters were discouraged by the poor poll results Speculation that he did not have such a great record as Newark mayor and displeasure with his party's president Barack Obama is hurting Cory Booker . NJ has not elected a Republican to the senate since 1972 even though the state leaned Republican through the early 1990's.

As of June 30, Booker has about 3.5 million cash on hand and Bell has close to 0
Learn More About Jeff Bell 
Learn More About Cory Booker

Latest Update On Iowa Senate Race

$Finances$ Update

As of June 30, Mike Braley has outspent Joni Ernst 4.4 million to 1.4 million.  He has a cash on hand advantage of 2.7 to 1.1 million.

Latest Polls:

After 4 consecutive polls showing the race tied, Mike Braley has taken the lead the last two. He has a 4 point lead in a Loras College poll that sampled 1200 likely Voters. A cbs poll with a sample of 1764 gives him a 2 point lead. These results are signicant because the samples are large enough to be reasonbly reliable. Polls have also shown Joni Ernst with higher negative ratings by about 5 to 6 percent. This could be refective of the financial edge that Mike Braley has over Ernst. Inspite of the cash advantage his campaign has he is hitting her hard for being backed by the Koch brothers. The Koch brothers are conservative billionares who have contributed money  promoting a pro conservative political agenda. They do this though a social welfare group called Americans for Presperity. The Koch brothers did not donate directly to Ernst's campaign, they did spend $500,000 attacking Mike Braley in January. Since then a Democrat super PAC has spent $459,000  attacking Ernst for being "backed" by the Koch brothers.

DWB index - Democrat 1.9%

Learn More about Joni Ernst  Here!
Learn More about Mike Braley  Here!
 
8-05-14

Even in a slightly leaning Democrat state like Iowa, 1.9% Democrat according the DB index, republicans should have a built in advantage because of Obama's low approval ratings. Republican Joni Ernst is in a dead heat with Democrat Mike Braley in a race that could decide the balance of power in the senate.

So far Mike Braley has raised 7.1 million and Joni Ernst has raised 2.5 million.

The Republicans have been trying to win this Louisiana senate seat for a long time and they seem to have their best chance in 2014. Louisiana has turned heavily Republican since the 1990's but that didn't result in taking over a senate seat until 2004 when Senator David Vitter defeated his Democrat opponent. 

Landrieu is going for her fourth consecutive term and would really be bucking the odds by achieving another victory. She would be defeating a solid candidate in a very Republican state.  According to the DWB index Louisiana was 21.1% pro Republican in 2012 and 25.8% pro Republican in 2008 with Romney and Mccaine winning the states by 17 and 19 percent respectively. 

Bill Cassidy leads Mary Landrieu by 3% in the only recent poll taken. Polls taken in late July and late June showed the race even tighter with Cassidy ahead by 1% and .5%.

$Campaign Finances$

As of August 2nd, Landrieu has out spent Cassidy by a huge margin so far. 8.5 million to 3 million.
However, Cassidy has a slight advantage when to comes to cash on hand with a 5.6 to 5.5 Million advantage.

Learn More About Bill Cassidy: Campaign Site, Ballotpedia

Learn More about Mary Landrieu: Campaign Site, Ballotpedia