The 3rd NJ district is an open seat currently held by republicans so the democrats have an oppurtunity for a pick-up here. President Obama defeated Romney by 3.9% the same margin he won the nation by. So that makes the district according to my index an even fight for republicans and democrats. Mcarthur is a wealthy insurance executive who
spent 2 million dollars of his own money against Lonegan who was a formidable candidate helping him defeat Lonegan by an impressive 60 - 40 margin.
Poll: Aimee Belgard vs. Tom Macarthur NJ District 3
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He will run against Aimee Belgard a freeholder from Burlington County. I don't know how much money she has or if she is condidered a strong candidate.
Real clear politics lists this race as leaning GOP
Frank Lobiondo(R) to take on Bill Hughes(d)
Real Clear Politics lists this race as likely GOP. I am not sure I would agree with that assesment. I would say it's a toss up for now.
Update: I have discovered that this district was pro Republican not long ago. In fact when Bill Hughes father defeated Lobiondo it was more Republican than the nation as a whole by about 4 points.