Hagan has had a small steady lead in the polls. Although Tillis has closed the gap he hasn't been able to over take her in the polls and the Realclearpolitics polling average still has her up by about 2%.
Until recently, Tillis remained competitive, but trailed Hagan in the polls. After news broke that she skipped an Armed Services Committee hearing on the Islamic State to attend a fundraiser, Tillis’ fortunes began to improve.
In spite of the overall mood of the country almost all blacks support President Obama and also support Kay Hagan. She is counting on a big turnout from minorities to help put her over the top. Most whites are supporting Thom Tillis.
The people of North Carolina are not pleased with president Obama and are dissatisfied with the direcition the country is going in. They don't like Obamacare, are not pleased with the state of the economy, and they seem to want to take it out on democrats across the country. Growth has been slow and job growth has been anemic. Many of the jobs that have been produced are part time. It may not be Hagan's fault that NC doesn't believe Obama has done a good job but she did support Obamacare and votes with Obama almost all the time.
Tillis wants to repeal Obamacare and that seems to be a popular point of view in the state of NC. He has criticized Hagan for telling the people they could keep their health plan and that turned out not to be true.
Tillis points out the enormous cost to taxpayers of Obamacare and expanding Medicaid. He also says its costing jobs and forcing employers to turn full-time jobs into part-time jobs.
In their debate Tillis asked of Hagan:
“Senator Hagan, you’ve been a senator for six years,” Tillis said. “Tell me what you’re proud of. Tell me what you’ve done. Tell me the promises you’ve fulfilled. That’s what this election’s about.”
If Tillis’ complaint sounds partisan, consider this. The Charlotte Observer newspaper, in an editorial endorsing Hagan said: “Kay Hagan has been a disappointment to many voters” and “has done the minimum you’d expect from a U.S. Senator.” The Observer also lamented that she “has a chronic reluctance to take firm positions on controversial issues.”